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2024 Week 4 NFL Rankings

These Rankings are based on scores, yardage, and turnovers. From there, the teams are ranked by a “power rating”, which is points above average. Based on the strength of schedule, each team's predicted record is also posted. This is a simplistic power rating, and doesn’t take into account injuries or the individual players.

This is the first week I’ve posted the ratings this season. Thus far, my favorite team (the Jaguars) are awful, so I’ve admittedly watched no football. However, it is interesting that these ratings do think Kansas City is not great, even though they are currently are 4-0 (and the defending Super Bowl champs). Still being early in the season, we may see the ratings calm over the next few weeks. Something I’ve noted on the backend is that a turnover has so far been worth over 80 yards, whereas in prior seasons, the number is closer to 65 yards.

If you see any calculation errors, or want to make a general comment, please message me on Mastodon (@nobody1231234@mastodon.social). Enjoy!

TeamCurr WCurr LCurr TPred WPred L Power RtgWin ProbPower Rank
Green Bay Packers22014.42.62011
San Francisco 49ers22013.83.216.10.992
Baltimore Ravens22013.53.513.30.953
Pittsburgh Steelers31013.73.39.90.914
Buffalo Bills31013.43.69.30.635
Los Angeles Chargers22013.33.79.10.956
New Orleans Saints22012.64.48.40.997
Detroit Lions31010.66.46.90.838
Houston Texans31012.24.86.80.379
New York Jets22010.96.160.5210
Minnesota Vikings40013.23.85.60.4811
Washington Commanders31012.64.44.70.9712
Seattle Seahawks31010.16.93.60.8913
Tampa Bay Buccaneers31010.96.12.80.9314
Cincinnati Bengals1308.38.71.10.0515
Miami Dolphins1307.99.10.30.9416
Chicago Bears2206.810.20.20.8117
Dallas Cowboys22089-0.20.0918
Arizona Cardinals130512-2.10.0119
Denver Broncos2208.78.3-3.40.9220
New York Giants1304.912.1-5.80.1121
Carolina Panthers1305.211.8-6.60.1922
Indianapolis Colts220710-7.20.823
Atlanta Falcons2204.612.4-8.40.0724
Kansas City Chiefs4007.19.9-8.60.0125
Los Angeles Rams1303.313.7-9.3026
Cleveland Browns1302.514.5-9.60.0327
Philadelphia Eagles220512-9.60.528
New England Patriots1303.313.7-11.30.0629
Jacksonville Jaguars0402.714.3-13.70.230
Tennessee Titans1302.714.3-140.1931
Las Vegas Raiders2203.713.3-14.10.0832

Credits: Pro Football Reference for the schedules.

Plain Text Sports for the scores to create this chart.

Tableizer to create the code for the table.